Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Common Merganser In Northern Pacific Rainforest
Common Merganser in Northern Pacific Rainforest has declined: down 45% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-45%Since 1970
107Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Common Merganser in Northern Pacific Rainforest. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Common Merganser in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to rise about 288% by 2029 — from 0.29 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.00–2.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±235%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+288%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.595% range
±235%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 2.5 |
| 2026 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 2.5 |
| 2027 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 2.5 |
| 2028 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 2.5 |
| 2029 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 2.5 |
Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest
| Cool Camp | OREGON | 313 | 2013 |
| Deception | WASHINGTON | 84 | 2017 |
| Alderpoint | CALIFORNIA | 18 | 2006 |
| Horse Creek | CALIFORNIA | 15 | 2019 |
| Copper River | ALASKA | 12 | 2011 |
| Salado | OREGON | 11 | 2024 |
| Warm Beach | WASHINGTON | 8 | 2005 |
| Longvale | CALIFORNIA | 7 | 2023 |
| Bull Run | OREGON | 7 | 2023 |
| Junction Cty | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2012 |
| Taholah | WASHINGTON | 5 | 2022 |
| Bodega Bay | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2021 |
| Glasgow | OREGON | 4 | 2018 |
| Prospect | OREGON | 4 | 2009 |
| Molalla | OREGON | 4 | 2021 |
| South Elma | WASHINGTON | 4 | 2017 |
| Ketchikan | ALASKA | 3 | 2001 |
| Hyder | ALASKA | 3 | 2007 |
| Sitka (Short) | ALASKA | 3 | 1992 |
| Shasta Lake | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2007 |
| Wedderburn | OREGON | 3 | 2004 |
| Emigrant Lake 2 | OREGON | 3 | 2019 |
| Hurricane Rg | WASHINGTON | 3 | 2023 |
| Juneau | ALASKA | 2 | 1989 |
| Thorne Bay | ALASKA | 2 | 2001 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.