Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Common Loon In Prairie Hardwood Transition
Common Loon in Prairie Hardwood Transition has risen sharply: up 74% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+74%Since 1968
38Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Common Loon has risen sharply in Prairie Hardwood Transition: up 74% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Common Loon in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 11% by 2029 — from 0.29 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.33 (95% range 0.14–0.51). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±74.1%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+11%Change by 2029
0.33Projected 2029 index
0.14–0.5195% range
±74.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.32 | 0.13 | 0.50 |
| 2026 | 0.32 | 0.13 | 0.50 |
| 2027 | 0.32 | 0.14 | 0.51 |
| 2028 | 0.32 | 0.14 | 0.51 |
| 2029 | 0.33 | 0.14 | 0.51 |
Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition
| Edwards | MINNESOTA | 10 | 2024 |
| Loraine | WISCONSIN | 5 | 2018 |
| Remus | MICHIGAN | 4 | 2024 |
| Chippewa Lk. | MICHIGAN | 4 | 2024 |
| Glenwood | MINNESOTA | 3 | 2019 |
| Weyerhauser | WISCONSIN | 3 | 2024 |
| Cadott | WISCONSIN | 3 | 2011 |
| Oconto Falls | WISCONSIN | 3 | 2023 |
| Osseo | MINNESOTA | 2 | 2019 |
| Evergreen | MINNESOTA | 2 | 2024 |
| Brook Park | MINNESOTA | 2 | 2024 |
| Ashby | MINNESOTA | 2 | 2021 |
| Sherburne Nr | MINNESOTA | 2 | 2024 |
| Hudson | WISCONSIN | 2 | 2024 |
| Dresser | WISCONSIN | 2 | 2021 |
| Hatfield | WISCONSIN | 2 | 1995 |
| Mather | WISCONSIN | 2 | 2013 |
| Elderon | WISCONSIN | 2 | 2021 |
| Scottville | MICHIGAN | 1 | 2015 |
| Big Blue Lk | MICHIGAN | 1 | 2011 |
| Big Rapids | MICHIGAN | 1 | 1972 |
| Nashville | MICHIGAN | 1 | 1973 |
| Galesburg | MICHIGAN | 1 | 2015 |
| Hungerford | MICHIGAN | 1 | 2019 |
| Belding 2 | MICHIGAN | 1 | 2010 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.