BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Common Ground Dove In Gulf Coastal Prairie

All regionsGulf Coastal PrairieGeneralists

Common Ground Dove in Gulf Coastal Prairie has surged: up 79% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

+79%Since 1971
22Routes In Region
49Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Common Ground Dove has surged in Gulf Coastal Prairie: up 79% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Common Ground Dove in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to rise about 386% by 2029 — from 0.43 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.1 (95% range 0.22–3.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±329.1%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+386%Change by 2029
2.1Projected 2029 index
0.22–3.995% range
±329.1%Backtest error
19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.00.123.8
20262.00.143.9
20272.00.173.9
20282.10.203.9
20292.10.223.9

Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie

Routes recording Common Ground Dove in Gulf Coastal Prairie.
McfaddinTEXAS82016
Goliad PrairieTEXAS62016
Loyola Beach 2TEXAS52024
IndianolaTEXAS42002
Hinkles FerTEXAS31988
Rock IslandTEXAS31980
Loyola BeachTEXAS32009
Bayside 2TEXAS32000
HackberryLOUISIANA21993
Lag AtascosaTEXAS22024
WinnieTEXAS21981
DanburyTEXAS22023
Oyster LakeTEXAS22018
BaysideTEXAS21996
San PedroTEXAS22023
Bayside 3TEXAS22024
L. Atascosa NwrTEXAS22023
EstherLOUISIANA12022
Ltl ChenierLOUISIANA12007
PetronilaTEXAS12016
StowellTEXAS11993
ChinquapinTEXAS12018

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.