BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 34 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Common Ground Dove In Sierra Madre Occidental

All regionsSierra Madre OccidentalGeneralists

Common Ground Dove in Sierra Madre Occidental has fallen sharply: down 62% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-62%Since 1970
10Routes In Region
52Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Common Ground Dove has fallen sharply in Sierra Madre Occidental: down 62% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Common Ground Dove in Sierra Madre Occidental is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.67 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±121.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.495% range
±121.7%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.020.001.4
20260.000.001.4
20270.000.001.4
20280.000.001.4
20290.000.001.4

Routes In Sierra Madre Occidental

Routes recording Common Ground Dove in Sierra Madre Occidental.
AmadoARIZONA52023
PomereneARIZONA42024
PatagoniaARIZONA42024
Peña BlancaARIZONA22024
RedingtonARIZONA22023
McnealARIZONA22023
PortalARIZONA22024
San SimonARIZONA11972
Skull ValleyARIZONA12013
Sunizona 2ARIZONA12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.