BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Common Ground Dove In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainGeneralists

Common Ground Dove in Southeastern Coastal Plain has increased: up 31% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+31%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
170Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Common Ground Dove in Southeastern Coastal Plain. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Common Ground Dove in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to fall about 28% by 2029 — from 1.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.0 (95% range 0.50–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-28%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.0Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.50–1.595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±22.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Common Ground Dove in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to fall about 28% by 2029 — from 1.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.0 (95% range 0.50–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.00.511.5
20261.00.511.5
20271.00.511.5
20281.00.511.5
20291.00.501.5

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Common Ground Dove in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
BostonGEORGIA192024
Broad BranchFLORIDA132024
FitzgeraldGEORGIA122024
BettsFLORIDA112024
NewtonGEORGIA102024
ElbertaALABAMA92019
PinettaFLORIDA92024
DouglasGEORGIA91981
ShilohGEORGIA92024
PhilemaGEORGIA92024
CallahanFLORIDA82024
WorkmoreGEORGIA82019
BlackwaterFLORIDA62024
Miller XrdsFLORIDA62019
BloxhamFLORIDA62019
Oak Grove 2FLORIDA62024
New HopeFLORIDA62011
OusleyGEORGIA62024
WeberGEORGIA62024
BlountstownFLORIDA52024
Defuniak SprFLORIDA52021
Hildreth 2FLORIDA52024
Seminole Hills 2FLORIDA52022
OkefenokeeGEORGIA51992
JacksonboroGEORGIA52024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.