Species · BCR 16 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Clark's Nutcracker In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
Clark's Nutcracker in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau has surged: up 342% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+342%Since 1970
142Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Clark's Nutcracker has surged in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau: up 342% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Clark's Nutcracker in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 2.3 (95% range 1.2–3.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±61.4%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-7%Change by 2029
2.3Projected 2029 index
1.2–3.395% range
±61.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 3.2 |
| 2026 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 3.2 |
| 2027 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 3.3 |
| 2028 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 3.3 |
| 2029 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 3.3 |
Routes In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
| Ferron | UTAH | 46 | 2022 |
| Piceance Basin | COLORADO | 38 | 2004 |
| Moon Pass | COLORADO | 37 | 2024 |
| South Fork | COLORADO | 31 | 2024 |
| Ojo Sarco | NEW-MEXICO | 20 | 2018 |
| Mount Evans | COLORADO | 19 | 2024 |
| Pinos Creek | COLORADO | 18 | 1990 |
| Summitville | COLORADO | 16 | 2024 |
| Fox Creek | COLORADO | 16 | 2024 |
| Flattops | COLORADO | 15 | 2017 |
| Nucla | COLORADO | 15 | 2024 |
| Haycamp Mesa | COLORADO | 15 | 2024 |
| Deadman Rd. | COLORADO | 14 | 2024 |
| Dinosaur | COLORADO | 14 | 2019 |
| Cochetopa Pass | COLORADO | 14 | 2024 |
| Guffey | COLORADO | 12 | 2024 |
| Gribbles Prk | COLORADO | 12 | 2024 |
| Owl Creek Pass | COLORADO | 11 | 2024 |
| Dixie Nf | UTAH | 11 | 2024 |
| Vernal | UTAH | 11 | 2016 |
| La Sal 3 | UTAH | 10 | 2024 |
| Logan Canyon | UTAH | 10 | 2019 |
| Pinon | COLORADO | 9 | 2022 |
| Mt. Taylor | NEW-MEXICO | 9 | 2012 |
| Beck | UTAH | 9 | 1986 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.