BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 9 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cinnamon Teal In Great Basin

All regionsGreat BasinWaterfowl

Cinnamon Teal in Great Basin has risen sharply: up 58% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+58%Since 1970
144Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Cinnamon Teal has risen sharply in Great Basin: up 58% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cinnamon Teal in Great Basin is projected to rise about 98% by 2029 — from 0.62 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.2 (95% range 0.00–3.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±117.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+98%Change by 2029
1.2Projected 2029 index
0.00–3.395% range
±117.3%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.30.003.4
20261.30.003.4
20271.30.003.4
20281.30.003.4
20291.20.003.3

Routes In Great Basin

Routes recording Cinnamon Teal in Great Basin.
DorrisCALIFORNIA842019
Bear RiverUTAH642023
GoshenUTAH252024
MacdoelCALIFORNIA182019
Blizzard GapOREGON172023
Virgin CreekNEVADA152018
PrincetonOREGON141985
Warner VallyOREGON132024
LikelyCALIFORNIA122024
HikoNEVADA122021
Barnes ValOREGON111987
Fish LakeOREGON102023
Catlow RimOREGON102024
PrestonIDAHO82014
Lone RockOREGON82015
RavendaleCALIFORNIA71998
Crowder FlatCALIFORNIA72018
Blackft ResIDAHO62018
Dougal ResIDAHO61991
Modoc Point 2OREGON62024
Salt SpringsUTAH62021
CallaoUTAH62023
OthelloWASHINGTON61991
Columbia NwrWASHINGTON62021
Hanford SiteWASHINGTON61993

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.