BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cinnamon Teal In Shortgrass Prairie

All regionsShortgrass PrairieWaterfowl

Cinnamon Teal in Shortgrass Prairie has fallen sharply: down 58% on the route-weighted index since 1978.

-58%Since 1978
27Routes In Region
39Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Cinnamon Teal has fallen sharply in Shortgrass Prairie: down 58% on the route-weighted index since 1978.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cinnamon Teal in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2027, near 0.04 (95% range 0.00–0.18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±72.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2027
0.04Projected 2027 index
0.00–0.1895% range
±72.1%Backtest error
19732027
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20230.050.000.19
20240.050.000.19
20250.050.000.19
20260.040.000.18
20270.040.000.18

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Cinnamon Teal in Shortgrass Prairie.
FrionaTEXAS112018
Wagon MoundNEW-MEXICO51973
WakaTEXAS52017
GrenvilleNEW-MEXICO41979
KiowaCOLORADO22012
Mica ButteCOLORADO21982
KirkCOLORADO22009
Doyle BridgeCOLORADO21994
NunnCOLORADO22014
Murray LakeNEBRASKA22015
MaxwellNEW-MEXICO22011
HookerOKLAHOMA21997
PantexTEXAS21999
FloydadaTEXAS22016
DoughertyTEXAS22015
Pine BluffWYOMING22022
LamarCOLORADO12007
HudsonCOLORADO12010
GroverCOLORADO12009
JulesburgCOLORADO12002
LamesaTEXAS12015
CircleTEXAS12001
TexlineTEXAS11999
ClaytonvilleTEXAS12022
DalhartTEXAS12019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.