Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Chuck-will's-widow In Mississippi Alluvial Valley
Chuck-will's-widow in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has collapsed: down 93% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-93%Since 1969
20Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Chuck-will's-widow has collapsed in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: down 93% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Chuck-will's-widow in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.87). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±92.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.8795% range
±92.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.87 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.87 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.87 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.87 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.87 |
Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley
| Tchula | MISSISSIPPI | 6 | 1975 |
| Tchula 2 | MISSISSIPPI | 6 | 1994 |
| Saffell | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2019 |
| Roseland | LOUISIANA | 2 | 2006 |
| Eudora | ARKANSAS | 1 | 1994 |
| West Tyler | ARKANSAS | 1 | 1970 |
| South Bend | ARKANSAS | 1 | 1999 |
| Harrisburg | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2010 |
| Maynard | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2024 |
| Lafe | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2021 |
| Augusta 2 | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2007 |
| Bardwell | KENTUCKY | 1 | 2000 |
| Mayflower | LOUISIANA | 1 | 1988 |
| Rayville | LOUISIANA | 1 | 1999 |
| Floyd | LOUISIANA | 1 | 2001 |
| Commerce | MISSISSIPPI | 1 | 1990 |
| Tchula 3 | MISSISSIPPI | 1 | 2009 |
| Cp Girardeau | MISSOURI | 1 | 1985 |
| Tiptonville | TENNESSEE | 1 | 2013 |
| Pawpaw | TENNESSEE | 1 | 1996 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.