BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Chipping Sparrow In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

All regionsEastern Tallgrass PrairieGeneralists

Chipping Sparrow in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has surged: up 581% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+581%Since 1968
273Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Chipping Sparrow has surged in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie: up 581% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Chipping Sparrow in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 64% by 2029 — from 12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 19 (95% range 15–23). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±57.1%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+64%Change by 2029
19Projected 2029 index
15–2395% range
±57.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025181322
2026181422
2027181423
2028191423
2029191523

Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

Routes recording Chipping Sparrow in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie.
Marion 2OHIO472024
Red RockIOWA432024
FultonOHIO422024
HarveysburgOHIO391996
W CarrolltonOHIO392015
RaymondWISCONSIN392024
MaplewoodINDIANA372021
KalidaOHIO372019
MarionOHIO372023
Witts StationINDIANA352024
DecaturINDIANA332024
EmdenMISSOURI332024
SheffieldILLINOIS322024
GalvestonINDIANA322024
Kings CreekOHIO322015
NorwalkOHIO322024
UnionILLINOIS312017
DarrtownOHIO302021
AshleyOHIO292018
WallaceINDIANA282024
Kahoka2MISSOURI282024
No KentonOHIO282024
Harveysburg 2OHIO282024
HumboldtILLINOIS272024
SwayzeeINDIANA272023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.