BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Chihuahuan Meadowlark In Shortgrass Prairie

All regionsShortgrass PrairieGeneralists

Chihuahuan Meadowlark in Shortgrass Prairie has surged: up 175% on the route-weighted index since 1972.

+175%Since 1972
31Routes In Region
52Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Chihuahuan Meadowlark has surged in Shortgrass Prairie: up 175% on the route-weighted index since 1972.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Chihuahuan Meadowlark in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to fall about 10% by 2029 — from 4.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.6 (95% range 0.00–8.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-10%Change by 2029
3.6Projected 2029 index
0.00–8.295% range
±26.9%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.70.008.3
20263.70.008.3
20273.70.008.3
20283.60.008.3
20293.60.008.2

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Chihuahuan Meadowlark in Shortgrass Prairie.
CactusTEXAS1542021
MaljamarNEW-MEXICO1161977
PepNEW-MEXICO952024
FloydNEW-MEXICO702024
ClovisNEW-MEXICO462024
PlainsTEXAS462024
Cooley LakeNEW-MEXICO252024
CaprockNEW-MEXICO162024
ChanningTEXAS152018
San SimonNEW-MEXICO92019
SedanNEW-MEXICO82024
TexlineTEXAS82024
RosebudNEW-MEXICO72024
LamesaTEXAS72023
DalhartTEXAS72024
Frankel CityTEXAS61994
HobbsNEW-MEXICO32024
GrenvilleNEW-MEXICO22019
LoganNEW-MEXICO22017
KermitTEXAS21999
MentoneTEXAS22011
TenmileTEXAS22022
PlainsTEXAS22017
TucumcariNEW-MEXICO11975
VariaderoNEW-MEXICO12021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.