Species · Montana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Chestnut-backed Chickadee Population Trend in Montana
Chestnut-backed Chickadee in Montana has increased: up 39% on the route-weighted index since 1988.
+39%Since 1988
11Routes In State
35Years
Notable Chestnut-backed Chickadee Trends in Montana
No notable trend signals for Chestnut-backed Chickadee in Montana. See the full index history below.
Chestnut-backed Chickadee Population Forecast in Montana
If the recent trend holds, Chestnut-backed Chickadee in Montana is projected to rise about 55% by 2029 — from 0.09 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.15 (95% range 0.02–0.27). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+55%Change by 2029
0.15Projected 2029 index
0.02–0.2795% range
±34.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 0.27 |
| 2026 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 0.27 |
| 2027 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 0.27 |
| 2028 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 0.27 |
| 2029 | 0.15 | 0.02 | 0.27 |
Chestnut-backed Chickadee Survey Routes in Montana
| Logan Pass | 3 | 2023 | 1988 |
| Noxon | 3 | 2023 | 2004 |
| St Regis | 3 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Fish Creek | 2 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Inside Road | 1 | 2006 | 1993 |
| Libby Dam | 1 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Whitefish Lake | 1 | 2024 | 2016 |
| Arlee | 1 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Swan Lake | 1 | 2023 | 2015 |
| Woodman | 1 | 2024 | 2016 |
| Thompson Riv | 1 | 2024 | 2006 |
Chestnut-backed Chickadee Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.