BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Carolina Wren In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaForest birds

Carolina Wren in Peninsular Florida has edged up: up 18% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+18%Since 1968
79Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Carolina Wren in Peninsular Florida. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Carolina Wren in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 15% by 2029 — from 24 in 2024 to a central estimate of 20 (95% range 12–28). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-15%Change by 2029
20Projected 2029 index
12–2895% range
±17.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025201228
2026201228
2027201228
2028201228
2029201228

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Carolina Wren in Peninsular Florida.
BelmoreFLORIDA742024
KenansvilleFLORIDA612024
GoetheFLORIDA592024
Mt. OliveFLORIDA572024
ScottsmoorFLORIDA522024
GardnerFLORIDA511999
Island GroveFLORIDA512024
TamiamiFLORIDA501974
St AugustineFLORIDA472024
NobletonFLORIDA442024
MicanopyFLORIDA411991
Babcock RnchFLORIDA411990
MabelFLORIDA392011
Ft MccoyFLORIDA392024
CroomFLORIDA382024
ChassahowitzFLORIDA362024
Myakka HeadFLORIDA342011
San AntonioFLORIDA332024
FlemingtonFLORIDA331999
OcalaFLORIDA302024
Green SwampFLORIDA282024
PinecrestFLORIDA262024
RomeoFLORIDA242024
DeanvilleFLORIDA242019
SebastianFLORIDA241992

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.