BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Carolina Wren In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasForest birds

Carolina Wren in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has surged: up 81% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+81%Since 1969
110Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Carolina Wren has surged in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: up 81% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Carolina Wren in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 24% by 2029 — from 35 in 2024 to a central estimate of 27 (95% range 19–34). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-24%Change by 2029
27Projected 2029 index
19–3495% range
±10.9%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025261934
2026261934
2027261934
2028271934
2029271934

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Carolina Wren in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
ChathamLOUISIANA851975
WomackLOUISIANA692024
Fishville 2LOUISIANA672024
FishvilleLOUISIANA652017
ClayLOUISIANA602024
EvelynLOUISIANA592024
Flat CreekLOUISIANA562024
Burr FerryLOUISIANA532024
NatchezLOUISIANA532024
GoodwillLOUISIANA532024
Mount UnionLOUISIANA522024
AthensTEXAS502024
ChandlerTEXAS492004
Ivan 2LOUISIANA482016
WechesTEXAS482024
Big Sandy BithTEXAS482024
ManyLOUISIANA471992
CaledoniaTEXAS472024
Bon WierTEXAS472024
DerryLOUISIANA451989
CartervilleLOUISIANA451992
DibollTEXAS452024
Alexander StTEXAS442024
LivingstonTEXAS422024
Powell Park 2TEXAS422024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.