BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Carolina Wren In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesForest birds

Carolina Wren in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 530% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+530%Since 1969
74Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Carolina Wren has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 529% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Carolina Wren in Oaks and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 15 (95% range 11–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-8%Change by 2029
15Projected 2029 index
11–1995% range
±9.9%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025149.918
2026141018
2027141018
2028151119
2029151119

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Carolina Wren in Oaks and Prairies.
CayugaTEXAS552024
Oak Grove 2TEXAS532024
BurtonTEXAS502024
Oak GroveTEXAS461999
HeyburnOKLAHOMA432024
CarlosTEXAS422024
HoldenvilleOKLAHOMA342024
PaigeTEXAS322024
Thornton 3TEXAS272024
Arenosa CrkTEXAS252024
LydiaTEXAS252023
DecaturTEXAS232024
HearneTEXAS222024
RhomeTEXAS202024
OsageTEXAS192024
Gambill Ref.TEXAS192024
DallasTEXAS182024
FanninTEXAS182023
Massey LakeTEXAS172024
YoakumTEXAS172024
TatumsOKLAHOMA162024
Miller GroveTEXAS162024
DikeTEXAS162024
BrucevilleTEXAS152024
Wills PointTEXAS152023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.