BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Carolina Chickadee In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainForest birds

Carolina Chickadee in Southeastern Coastal Plain has risen sharply: up 63% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+63%Since 1968
345Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Carolina Chickadee has risen sharply in Southeastern Coastal Plain: up 63% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Carolina Chickadee in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to rise about 13% by 2029 — from 8.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 9.4 (95% range 7.6–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+13%Change by 2029
9.4Projected 2029 index
7.6–1195% range
±8.7%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20259.17.311
20269.27.411
20279.37.511
20289.37.511
20299.47.611

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Carolina Chickadee in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
PinewoodSOUTH-CAROLINA622019
MashoesNORTH-CAROLINA511982
WallsboroALABAMA422021
Kiawah IslandSOUTH-CAROLINA412024
Adams RunSOUTH-CAROLINA342024
Miller XrdsFLORIDA322019
Seminole Hills 2FLORIDA312022
BrundidgeALABAMA302021
ShallotteNORTH-CAROLINA291991
PlettenbergLOUISIANA282022
Cypress CrNORTH-CAROLINA282022
GastonburgALABAMA272024
WalthallMISSISSIPPI271987
Trace LormanMISSISSIPPI272019
EpesALABAMA262024
LovedaleFLORIDA262011
Trace SouthMISSISSIPPI252019
MontagueNORTH-CAROLINA242024
SpragueALABAMA232024
BillingsleyALABAMA222022
Laurel HillFLORIDA222024
Wards CornerNORTH-CAROLINA222024
Milltail CrNORTH-CAROLINA222024
WalterboroSOUTH-CAROLINA222017
Myrtle GroveNORTH-CAROLINA212024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.