BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Carolina Chickadee In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyForest birds

Carolina Chickadee in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has surged: up 210% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+210%Since 1968
72Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Carolina Chickadee has surged in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: up 210% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Carolina Chickadee in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 12 (95% range 8.5–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+1%Change by 2029
12Projected 2029 index
8.5–1595% range
±16.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025117.914
2026118.015
2027118.215
2028128.315
2029128.515

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Carolina Chickadee in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
Baton RougeLOUISIANA782024
KraemerLOUISIANA642024
AtchafalayaLOUISIANA412024
CarlisleLOUISIANA361988
RamahLOUISIANA342024
Morgan CityLOUISIANA311986
ConcordLOUISIANA222019
TallahatchieMISSISSIPPI192024
BerwickLOUISIANA172018
RoselandLOUISIANA162024
EnglandARKANSAS142024
DundeeMISSISSIPPI142022
Rayville 2LOUISIANA132024
HughesARKANSAS112023
FrogmoreLOUISIANA112024
Morgan CityLOUISIANA112022
TippoMISSISSIPPI112024
River RoadLOUISIANA92024
Panther Swamp NwrMISSISSIPPI92018
MaynardARKANSAS82024
Tensas NwrLOUISIANA82024
Warren VickMISSISSIPPI82022
KeystoneLOUISIANA72013
ShawLOUISIANA72024
RayvilleLOUISIANA72008

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.