BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Carolina Chickadee In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasForest birds

Carolina Chickadee in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has risen sharply: up 68% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+68%Since 1969
110Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Carolina Chickadee has risen sharply in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: up 68% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Carolina Chickadee in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 31% by 2029 — from 16 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 6.1–17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-31%Change by 2029
11Projected 2029 index
6.1–1795% range
±22.5%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025116.217
2026116.117
2027116.117
2028116.117
2029116.117

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Carolina Chickadee in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
DibollTEXAS702024
LivingstonTEXAS542024
NatchezLOUISIANA342024
BlancoOKLAHOMA342016
ClayLOUISIANA332024
EastonLOUISIANA321990
BlakelyARKANSAS291999
Burr FerryLOUISIANA292024
Chandler 2TEXAS292024
CaledoniaTEXAS282024
LongstreetLOUISIANA272024
MatoyOKLAHOMA272000
CartervilleLOUISIANA261992
Union HillTEXAS262024
Mount UnionLOUISIANA252024
Mt. SelmanTEXAS252024
StarkARKANSAS242024
Powell ParkTEXAS232021
CheniereLOUISIANA212024
EvelynLOUISIANA212024
MortonTEXAS212024
WechesTEXAS212024
ChandlerTEXAS202004
NanceARKANSAS192024
DerryLOUISIANA191989

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.