BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 34 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Canyon Towhee In Sierra Madre Occidental

All regionsSierra Madre OccidentalGeneralists

Canyon Towhee in Sierra Madre Occidental has declined: down 49% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-49%Since 1970
27Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Canyon Towhee in Sierra Madre Occidental. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Canyon Towhee in Sierra Madre Occidental is projected to fall about 49% by 2029 — from 4.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 0.00–6.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-49%Change by 2029
2.4Projected 2029 index
0.00–6.895% range
±10.8%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.80.007.2
20262.70.007.1
20272.60.007.0
20282.50.006.9
20292.40.006.8

Routes In Sierra Madre Occidental

Routes recording Canyon Towhee in Sierra Madre Occidental.
Bartlett ResARIZONA252024
CutterARIZONA142014
PortalARIZONA102024
MagdalenaNEW-MEXICO102024
RedingtonARIZONA92022
Clay SpringARIZONA92024
PatagoniaARIZONA82024
Forest LakesARIZONA82024
Skull ValleyARIZONA72024
PrescottARIZONA62022
WilliamsARIZONA52001
AmadoARIZONA52023
DragoonARIZONA32009
PomereneARIZONA22024
San SimonARIZONA22022
Peña BlancaARIZONA22024
PinetopARIZONA22022
Emory PassNEW-MEXICO22023
Aztec PeakARIZONA11977
SunizonaARIZONA11997
SahuaritaARIZONA12024
McnealARIZONA12024
Carr MtnARIZONA12023
Sunizona 2ARIZONA12024
RuckerARIZONA12008

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.