BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Canvasback In Badlands and Prairies

All regionsBadlands and PrairiesWaterfowl

Canvasback in Badlands and Prairies has held roughly steady: down 3% on the route-weighted index since 1982.

-3%Since 1982
30Routes In Region
33Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Canvasback in Badlands and Prairies. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Canvasback in Badlands and Prairies is projected to fall about 22% by 2029 — from 0.17 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.13 (95% range 0.00–0.34). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±71.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-22%Change by 2029
0.13Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.3495% range
±71.4%Backtest error
19772029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.130.000.34
20260.130.000.34
20270.130.000.34
20280.130.000.34
20290.130.000.34

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Canvasback in Badlands and Prairies.
BucknumWYOMING202000
OttumwaSOUTH-DAKOTA161993
GorhamNORTH-DAKOTA102016
HighwoodMONTANA82014
BowmanNORTH-DAKOTA82024
Cedar CreekNORTH-DAKOTA62009
IngomarMONTANA31993
ZapNORTH-DAKOTA32019
BillWYOMING32000
LeroyMONTANA22014
RoyMONTANA22008
JordanMONTANA21987
CircleMONTANA22019
Two DotMONTANA22024
Chuffey SpringMONTANA22019
Dunn CenterNORTH-DAKOTA21982
BentleyNORTH-DAKOTA22023
LaplantSOUTH-DAKOTA21999
Fort PierreSOUTH-DAKOTA22021
RecluseWYOMING22016
BrusettMONTANA12023
SavageMONTANA11999
ShawmutMONTANA12024
WebsterMONTANA12019
SolenNORTH-DAKOTA12024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.