BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 4 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Canada Jay In BCR 4

All regionsBCR 4Generalists

Canada Jay in BCR 4 has increased: up 44% on the route-weighted index since 1976.

+44%Since 1976
68Routes In Region
47Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Canada Jay in BCR 4. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Canada Jay in BCR 4 is projected to rise about 31% by 2029 — from 7.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 9.3 (95% range 5.0–14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+31%Change by 2029
9.3Projected 2029 index
5.0–1495% range
±27.7%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20259.14.713
20269.14.813
20279.24.814
20289.34.914
20299.35.014

Routes In BCR 4

Routes recording Canada Jay in BCR 4.
SourdoughALASKA212024
LivengoodALASKA192021
Nicholai SlALASKA182024
EagleALASKA172024
NorthwayALASKA162023
Kanuti LakeALASKA162024
RubyALASKA152024
Chatanika RALASKA142023
DeltaALASKA142024
NebesnaALASKA131975
Tower BluffsALASKA112023
ChickenALASKA112024
SlanaALASKA102024
Mud RiverALASKA102024
TatalinaALASKA102019
SavageALASKA92024
CohoeALASKA92023
Caribou Mtn.ALASKA92024
Unalakleet RiverALASKA92024
Moose CreekALASKA92022
Mt. FairplayALASKA92024
CircleALASKA82024
Chena RiverALASKA81988
Swan Lake RdALASKA82023
Burma RoadALASKA82024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.