Species · BCR 16 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Canada Jay In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
Canada Jay in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau has surged: up 152% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+152%Since 1970
57Routes In Region
55Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Canada Jay has surged in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau: up 152% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Canada Jay in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau is projected to rise about 55% by 2029 — from 0.19 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.30 (95% range 0.08–0.52). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±83.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+55%Change by 2029
0.30Projected 2029 index
0.08–0.5295% range
±83.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.29 | 0.07 | 0.51 |
| 2026 | 0.29 | 0.07 | 0.51 |
| 2027 | 0.30 | 0.08 | 0.52 |
| 2028 | 0.30 | 0.08 | 0.52 |
| 2029 | 0.30 | 0.08 | 0.52 |
Routes In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
| Buffalo Park | COLORADO | 14 | 2023 |
| Ryan Park | WYOMING | 10 | 2015 |
| Navajo Lake | UTAH | 6 | 1974 |
| Uintah Nf | UTAH | 6 | 1987 |
| Pinos Creek | COLORADO | 5 | 1990 |
| South Fork | COLORADO | 5 | 2024 |
| Mount Evans | COLORADO | 5 | 2024 |
| Weston Pass 2 | COLORADO | 4 | 2022 |
| Wasatch Nf | UTAH | 4 | 2024 |
| Fox Park | WYOMING | 4 | 2023 |
| Red Cliff | COLORADO | 3 | 2024 |
| Guanella Pas | COLORADO | 3 | 2019 |
| Pinon | COLORADO | 3 | 2024 |
| Cochetopa Pass | COLORADO | 3 | 2023 |
| Altonah | UTAH | 3 | 1979 |
| Soapstone | UTAH | 3 | 2013 |
| Ferron | UTAH | 3 | 2002 |
| Parlin | COLORADO | 2 | 2022 |
| Lost Lake | COLORADO | 2 | 2018 |
| Castleton | COLORADO | 2 | 2024 |
| Guffey | COLORADO | 2 | 2017 |
| Dolores Riv | COLORADO | 2 | 2005 |
| Rio Grnds Rs | COLORADO | 2 | 2000 |
| Summitville | COLORADO | 2 | 2012 |
| Deadman Rd. | COLORADO | 2 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.