BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Canada Goose In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

All regionsNew England / Mid-Atlantic CoastWaterfowl

Canada Goose in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has surged: up 50× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

50×Since 1968
148Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Canada Goose has surged in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: up 50× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Canada Goose in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to rise about 10% by 2029 — from 14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 15 (95% range 9.1–21). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+10%Change by 2029
15Projected 2029 index
9.1–2195% range
±41.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025148.220
2026148.420
2027148.620
2028158.821
2029159.121

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Canada Goose in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
Chincoteag WVIRGINIA1652024
Holleyville 2DELAWARE1462024
Pedricktown 2NEW-JERSEY972024
MardelaMARYLAND922019
HarringtonDELAWARE732024
HuntingtonNEW-YORK672023
WalkersVIRGINIA552023
Forest GroveMARYLAND512023
HoldenMASSACHUSETTS472024
HarmonyMARYLAND442017
Block IslandRHODE-ISLAND412010
PomfretMARYLAND402024
NottinghamMARYLAND402024
Jones BeachNEW-YORK402013
Cape CharlesVIRGINIA402018
HolmansvilleNEW-JERSEY382009
MadisonMARYLAND372024
PomonkeyMARYLAND362024
HolleyvilleDELAWARE332004
Kittery PtMAINE332024
MiltonDELAWARE322016
Tall TimbersMARYLAND322014
BuckinghamCONNECTICUT312022
StraffordNEW-HAMPSHIRE312023
WesthamptonNEW-YORK312024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.