BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Canada Goose In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionWaterfowl

Canada Goose in Prairie Hardwood Transition has surged: up 206× on the route-weighted index since 1969.

206×Since 1969
156Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Canada Goose has surged in Prairie Hardwood Transition: up 206× on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Canada Goose in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 64% by 2029 — from 14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 23 (95% range 15–30). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+64%Change by 2029
23Projected 2029 index
15–3095% range
±28.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025211428
2026221429
2027221529
2028221530
2029231530

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Canada Goose in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
KielWISCONSIN4502022
Rolling PrWISCONSIN2692024
St CharlesMICHIGAN1611996
GlenwoodMINNESOTA1412019
EvergreenMINNESOTA1312024
LoraineWISCONSIN1272021
HungerfordMICHIGAN1252024
WhitewaterMINNESOTA1201997
DeckervilleMICHIGAN1192024
Wis RapidsWISCONSIN902023
KingswayOHIO732024
PrincetonMINNESOTA722023
Lake GalenaILLINOIS702021
Le CenterMINNESOTA602016
ParisWISCONSIN602024
CochraneWISCONSIN582024
ManawaWISCONSIN542023
Packertown 2INDIANA462024
OmroWISCONSIN462001
CascoWISCONSIN432023
NashvilleMICHIGAN422024
EsdaileWISCONSIN422023
BrownsvilleWISCONSIN402021
HomerMICHIGAN342021
MukwonagoWISCONSIN342004

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.