BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Canada Goose In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesWaterfowl

Canada Goose in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 304% on the route-weighted index since 1993.

+304%Since 1993
22Routes In Region
31Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Canada Goose has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 304% on the route-weighted index since 1993.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Canada Goose in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 276% by 2029 — from 0.26 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.96 (95% range 0.00–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±75%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+276%Change by 2029
0.96Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.095% range
±75%Backtest error
19902029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.910.002.0
20260.920.002.0
20270.940.002.0
20280.950.002.0
20290.960.002.0

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Canada Goose in Oaks and Prairies.
BartlesvilleOKLAHOMA422004
HenriettaTEXAS252022
LydiaTEXAS142023
Mill CreekOKLAHOMA122018
BeggsOKLAHOMA82023
Gambill Ref.TEXAS82014
SeldenTEXAS62018
TatumsOKLAHOMA52024
DuncanOKLAHOMA52021
SadlerTEXAS52023
Massey LakeTEXAS42023
CayugaTEXAS42023
RhomeTEXAS32024
HoldenvilleOKLAHOMA22019
ChoctawOKLAHOMA22021
NobleOKLAHOMA22024
HeyburnOKLAHOMA22006
SkiatookOKLAHOMA22015
Glen RoseTEXAS22016
WeatherfordTEXAS22024
Blue RidgeTEXAS22018
DikeTEXAS12018

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.