Species · BCR 15 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
California Towhee In Sierra Nevada
California Towhee in Sierra Nevada has held roughly steady: down 6% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-6%Since 1970
17Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for California Towhee in Sierra Nevada. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, California Towhee in Sierra Nevada is projected to rise about 24% by 2029 — from 1.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.0 (95% range 0.00–4.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±97.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+24%Change by 2029
2.0Projected 2029 index
0.00–4.495% range
±97.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.1 | 0.00 | 4.5 |
| 2026 | 2.1 | 0.00 | 4.5 |
| 2027 | 2.1 | 0.00 | 4.5 |
| 2028 | 2.0 | 0.00 | 4.5 |
| 2029 | 2.0 | 0.00 | 4.4 |
Routes In Sierra Nevada
| Kernville | CALIFORNIA | 22 | 2008 |
| Bass Lake | CALIFORNIA | 17 | 2019 |
| Higgins Corn | CALIFORNIA | 15 | 2024 |
| Silver City | CALIFORNIA | 13 | 2013 |
| Kings Canyon | CALIFORNIA | 10 | 2024 |
| Greenhorn Mt | CALIFORNIA | 7 | 2008 |
| Placerville | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2024 |
| Cottage Spgs | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 1972 |
| Wawona | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2024 |
| Tuolumne Grove | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2000 |
| Sattley | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1974 |
| Downieville | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1988 |
| Riverton | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2023 |
| Hat Creek | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1988 |
| Lakeshore | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2010 |
| Forest Hill | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2022 |
| Coulterville | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2019 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.