BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cactus Wren In Gulf Coastal Prairie

All regionsGulf Coastal PrairieArid-land birds

Cactus Wren in Gulf Coastal Prairie has declined: down 50% on the route-weighted index since 1972.

-50%Since 1972
5Routes In Region
34Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Cactus Wren in Gulf Coastal Prairie. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cactus Wren in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to rise about 21% by 2028 — from 0.13 in 2023 to a central estimate of 0.16 (95% range 0.00–0.36). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±50.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+21%Change by 2028
0.16Projected 2028 index
0.00–0.3695% range
±50.5%Backtest error
19692028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20240.160.000.36
20250.160.000.36
20260.160.000.36
20270.160.000.36
20280.160.000.36

Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie

Routes recording Cactus Wren in Gulf Coastal Prairie.
L. Atascosa NwrTEXAS32023
San PedroTEXAS22016
Lag AtascosaTEXAS12015
Loyola BeachTEXAS12009
Loyola Beach 2TEXAS12015

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.