BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cactus Wren In Tamaulipan Brushlands

All regionsTamaulipan BrushlandsArid-land birds

Cactus Wren in Tamaulipan Brushlands has fallen sharply: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-59%Since 1969
27Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Cactus Wren has fallen sharply in Tamaulipan Brushlands: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cactus Wren in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to fall about 31% by 2029 — from 6.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.7 (95% range 0.00–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±55%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-31%Change by 2029
4.7Projected 2029 index
0.00–1595% range
±55%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20256.00.0016
20265.70.0016
20275.30.0016
20285.00.0015
20294.70.0015

Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands

Routes recording Cactus Wren in Tamaulipan Brushlands.
ZapataTEXAS531987
San YgnacioTEXAS331985
El SauzTEXAS212023
EncinalTEXAS202010
El IndioTEXAS172001
Millett 2TEXAS172024
GuerraTEXAS152023
Encinal 2TEXAS152024
Cavasara Cr.TEXAS142023
Catarina 2TEXAS132017
Catarina 3TEXAS122024
DilleyTEXAS112024
LaredoTEXAS112023
CatarinaTEXAS102010
Mirando CityTEXAS92024
SejitaTEXAS72024
HondoTEXAS52024
MillettTEXAS52012
La PryorTEXAS42005
Pedro CreekTEXAS42010
George WestTEXAS22024
RaymondvilleTEXAS22024
RachalTEXAS12023
Agua NuevaTEXAS12023
KingsvilleTEXAS12024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.