BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cactus Wren In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieArid-land birds

Cactus Wren in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has collapsed: down 77% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

-77%Since 1971
13Routes In Region
49Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Cactus Wren has collapsed in Central Mixed Grass Prairie: down 76% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cactus Wren in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±69.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2028
0.02Projected 2028 index
0.00–0.2995% range
±69.1%Backtest error
19672028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20240.040.000.31
20250.040.000.31
20260.030.000.30
20270.030.000.30
20280.020.000.29

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Cactus Wren in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
SilverTEXAS42019
Mertzon 2TEXAS32022
WinchellTEXAS22005
ShieldsTEXAS22001
WallTEXAS22018
Shields 2TEXAS22018
Pear ValleyTEXAS12023
WeinertTEXAS11993
MertzonTEXAS12019
RotanTEXAS11977
EldoradoTEXAS12023
HaskellTEXAS11995
GirardTEXAS12004

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.