BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 16 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cactus Wren In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau

All regionsSouthern Rockies / Colorado PlateauArid-land birds

Cactus Wren in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau has fallen sharply: down 64% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

-64%Since 1971
16Routes In Region
43Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Cactus Wren has fallen sharply in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cactus Wren in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau is projected to fall about 25% by 2029 — from 0.09 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.07 (95% range 0.00–0.20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±163%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-25%Change by 2029
0.07Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.2095% range
±163%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.070.000.20
20260.070.000.20
20270.070.000.20
20280.070.000.20
20290.070.000.20

Routes In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau

Routes recording Cactus Wren in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau.
PasturaNEW-MEXICO122024
Peach SpringARIZONA52018
Corona EastNEW-MEXICO41995
Horse MtnNEW-MEXICO32023
The GapARIZONA21968
ToroweapARIZONA22019
CorreoNEW-MEXICO21978
Gallo ArroyoNEW-MEXICO22018
CastletonUTAH21977
YampaiARIZONA11975
Navajo TrailARIZONA12018
SeligmanARIZONA12018
ClaunchNEW-MEXICO11996
MountainairNEW-MEXICO12023
Cerro VerdeNEW-MEXICO12018
Claunch 2NEW-MEXICO12008

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.