Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Brown-headed Nuthatch In Peninsular Florida
Brown-headed Nuthatch in Peninsular Florida has declined: down 30% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-30%Since 1968
28Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Brown-headed Nuthatch in Peninsular Florida. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Brown-headed Nuthatch in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 68% by 2029 — from 1.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.43 (95% range 0.00–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±71.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-68%Change by 2029
0.43Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.295% range
±71.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2027 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2029 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
Routes In Peninsular Florida
| Goethe | FLORIDA | 27 | 2024 |
| Punta Gorda | FLORIDA | 8 | 1986 |
| Green Swamp | FLORIDA | 8 | 2024 |
| Pinelands | FLORIDA | 6 | 2024 |
| Romeo | FLORIDA | 4 | 2023 |
| Webb | FLORIDA | 4 | 2024 |
| St Augustine | FLORIDA | 3 | 2022 |
| Belmore | FLORIDA | 3 | 2022 |
| Pinecrest | FLORIDA | 3 | 2024 |
| Kenansville | FLORIDA | 3 | 2024 |
| Deanville | FLORIDA | 3 | 2015 |
| Babcock Rnch | FLORIDA | 3 | 1988 |
| Wildernes Pk | FLORIDA | 3 | 2013 |
| Myakka Head | FLORIDA | 2 | 1967 |
| Childs | FLORIDA | 2 | 1970 |
| Homestead | FLORIDA | 2 | 2022 |
| Croom | FLORIDA | 2 | 2003 |
| Micanopy | FLORIDA | 1 | 1989 |
| San Antonio | FLORIDA | 1 | 1991 |
| Polk City | FLORIDA | 1 | 1990 |
| Salvista | FLORIDA | 1 | 1969 |
| Ft Mccoy | FLORIDA | 1 | 2008 |
| Kissimmee | FLORIDA | 1 | 2015 |
| Arbuckle | FLORIDA | 1 | 2019 |
| Alva | FLORIDA | 1 | 2014 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.