BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Brown-headed Nuthatch In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

All regionsNew England / Mid-Atlantic CoastForest birds

Brown-headed Nuthatch in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has surged: up 246% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+246%Since 1968
21Routes In Region
55Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Brown-headed Nuthatch has surged in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: up 246% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Brown-headed Nuthatch in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to fall about 27% by 2029 — from 0.54 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.40 (95% range 0.20–0.59). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.2%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-27%Change by 2029
0.40Projected 2029 index
0.20–0.5995% range
±31.2%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.370.180.56
20260.380.180.57
20270.380.190.57
20280.390.200.58
20290.400.200.59

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Brown-headed Nuthatch in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
MadisonMARYLAND152024
CokesburyMARYLAND102024
Pepperbox 2DELAWARE62024
WalnutMARYLAND52016
Furnace TownMARYLAND42024
HongaMARYLAND32024
FrankfordDELAWARE21978
PepperboxDELAWARE22016
FruitlandMARYLAND21966
TruhartVIRGINIA22023
HolleyvilleDELAWARE11975
GeorgetownDELAWARE12021
MelitotaMARYLAND11989
NewarkMARYLAND12024
Snow HillMARYLAND11975
Island CreekMARYLAND12022
BerlinMARYLAND12021
IndiantownMARYLAND12005
White StoneVIRGINIA12024
QuinbyVIRGINIA12024
Chincoteag WVIRGINIA12021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.