BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Brown-crested Flycatcher Population Trend in Texas

All statesAerial insectivores

Brown-crested Flycatcher in Texas has increased: up 45% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+45%Since 1969
61Routes In State
57Years

Notable Brown-crested Flycatcher Trends in Texas

No notable trend signals for Brown-crested Flycatcher in Texas. See the full index history below.

Brown-crested Flycatcher Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Brown-crested Flycatcher in Texas is projected to rise about 10% by 2029 — from 1.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.6 (95% range 0.64–2.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+10%Change by 2029
1.6Projected 2029 index
0.64–2.595% range
±25.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.60.632.5
20261.60.632.5
20271.60.632.5
20281.60.642.5
20291.60.642.5

Brown-crested Flycatcher Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Brown-crested Flycatcher in Texas.
Rachal6220231967
Three Rivers4720241994
San Pedro4220231996
Mcfaddin4120162006
Agua Nueva3920231969
Guerra3320231988
Goliad Prairie2320162004
L. Atascosa Nwr2220231998
Zapata2019871967
Sejita2020241994
Millett 21720242013
Raymondville1720241970
Loyola Beach 21620242010
Kingsville1520241967
Catarina 21520172011
Encinal1420101969
Hobson1420241971
El Sauz1420231993
Cavasara Cr.1320231995
George West920241968
Hondo920231969
Laredo920231994
Encinal 2920242011
Millett820121996
Brite820241994

Brown-crested Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States

arizonacalifornianevadanew-mexicoutah

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.