BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Brown-crested Flycatcher In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauAerial insectivores

Brown-crested Flycatcher in Edwards Plateau has surged: up 121% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

+121%Since 1977
5Routes In Region
30Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Brown-crested Flycatcher has surged in Edwards Plateau: up 121% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Brown-crested Flycatcher in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 70% by 2029 — from 0.31 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.53 (95% range 0.00–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±70.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+70%Change by 2029
0.53Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.595% range
±70.4%Backtest error
19722029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.520.001.5
20260.520.001.5
20270.520.001.5
20280.530.001.5
20290.530.001.5

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Brown-crested Flycatcher in Edwards Plateau.
MontellTEXAS42024
BoerneTEXAS11975
UtopiaTEXAS11996
Indian MtnTEXAS12024
LeakeyTEXAS12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.