Species · BCR 10 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Broad-tailed Hummingbird In Northern Rockies
Broad-tailed Hummingbird in Northern Rockies has surged: up 544% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
+544%Since 1974
52Routes In Region
51Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Broad-tailed Hummingbird has surged in Northern Rockies: up 544% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Broad-tailed Hummingbird in Northern Rockies is projected to fall about 39% by 2029 — from 0.47 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.28 (95% range 0.12–0.45). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±42.6%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-39%Change by 2029
0.28Projected 2029 index
0.12–0.4595% range
±42.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.27 | 0.10 | 0.43 |
| 2026 | 0.27 | 0.11 | 0.44 |
| 2027 | 0.28 | 0.11 | 0.44 |
| 2028 | 0.28 | 0.12 | 0.45 |
| 2029 | 0.28 | 0.12 | 0.45 |
Routes In Northern Rockies
| Wilson | WYOMING | 23 | 2024 |
| Alpine | WYOMING | 12 | 2024 |
| Moose | WYOMING | 6 | 2024 |
| Woodruff | UTAH | 5 | 2024 |
| Savery | WYOMING | 5 | 1995 |
| Riverside | WYOMING | 3 | 2024 |
| Hunter Peak | WYOMING | 3 | 2024 |
| Crazy Woman | WYOMING | 3 | 2024 |
| Buckskin Mtn | WYOMING | 3 | 2021 |
| Savery 2 | WYOMING | 3 | 2024 |
| Colter Bay 2 | WYOMING | 3 | 2024 |
| Challis | IDAHO | 2 | 2022 |
| Neponset Res | UTAH | 2 | 1999 |
| Crawford Mts | UTAH | 2 | 2023 |
| Green River | WYOMING | 2 | 1978 |
| Maybell | COLORADO | 1 | 1971 |
| Great Divide | COLORADO | 1 | 2011 |
| Browns Park | COLORADO | 1 | 1995 |
| Lay | COLORADO | 1 | 2001 |
| Cape Horn | IDAHO | 1 | 1990 |
| Centerville | IDAHO | 1 | 1985 |
| Alturas | IDAHO | 1 | 1985 |
| Libby Dam | MONTANA | 1 | 1987 |
| St Regis | MONTANA | 1 | 2002 |
| Elliston | MONTANA | 1 | 1991 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.