BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 4 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Bohemian Waxwing In BCR 4

All regionsBCR 4Generalists

Bohemian Waxwing in BCR 4 has fallen sharply: down 67% on the route-weighted index since 1976.

-67%Since 1976
57Routes In Region
46Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Bohemian Waxwing has fallen sharply in BCR 4: down 67% on the route-weighted index since 1976.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Bohemian Waxwing in BCR 4 is projected to fall about 73% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.33 (95% range 0.00–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-73%Change by 2029
0.33Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.095% range
±52.1%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.420.002.1
20260.400.002.1
20270.370.002.0
20280.350.002.0
20290.330.002.0

Routes In BCR 4

Routes recording Bohemian Waxwing in BCR 4.
ToklatALASKA151982
Nabesna RoadALASKA132024
NorthwayALASKA112022
Lake LouiseALASKA112012
Swan Lake RdALASKA91994
Moose CreekALASKA92016
EagleALASKA82024
Kanuti CanynALASKA72024
Goose BayALASKA61976
Hatcher PassALASKA61985
Chatanika RALASKA52023
Tangle LakesALASKA51987
Bear CreekALASKA41990
Nicholai SlALASKA42021
ColdfootALASKA42022
KuskulanaALASKA42024
MonahanALASKA32021
CantwellALASKA32019
MatanuskaALASKA31983
Kenny LakeALASKA32022
TonsinaALASKA32021
Unalakleet RiverALASKA32019
Mt. FairplayALASKA32022
Mud RiverALASKA32024
Anvik RiverALASKA32019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.