Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Bobolink In Central Hardwoods
Bobolink in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 162% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+162%Since 1970
26Routes In Region
49Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Bobolink has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 162% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Bobolink in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 79% by 2029 — from 0.07 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.12 (95% range 0.04–0.20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±56.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+79%Change by 2029
0.12Projected 2029 index
0.04–0.2095% range
±56.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 0.20 |
| 2026 | 0.12 | 0.04 | 0.20 |
| 2027 | 0.12 | 0.04 | 0.20 |
| 2028 | 0.12 | 0.04 | 0.20 |
| 2029 | 0.12 | 0.04 | 0.20 |
Routes In Central Hardwoods
| Corydon | INDIANA | 7 | 2006 |
| Syracuse | MISSOURI | 6 | 2006 |
| Plum | KENTUCKY | 3 | 2024 |
| Johnsonville | KENTUCKY | 2 | 2005 |
| Eastview | KENTUCKY | 2 | 1986 |
| Shelbyville | KENTUCKY | 2 | 1978 |
| East Union | KENTUCKY | 2 | 2022 |
| Million 2 | KENTUCKY | 2 | 2024 |
| Lincoln | MISSOURI | 2 | 2024 |
| Spencer | INDIANA | 1 | 2004 |
| Indian Spgs | INDIANA | 1 | 2010 |
| Celestine | INDIANA | 1 | 1996 |
| Clear Spring | INDIANA | 1 | 1993 |
| New Phila | INDIANA | 1 | 2012 |
| Scottsburg | INDIANA | 1 | 1998 |
| Merrimac | KENTUCKY | 1 | 1998 |
| Goshen | KENTUCKY | 1 | 1998 |
| Glencoe | KENTUCKY | 1 | 1974 |
| Buena Vista | KENTUCKY | 1 | 1976 |
| Sewell Shop | KENTUCKY | 1 | 2018 |
| Hodgenville 2 | KENTUCKY | 1 | 2017 |
| Pleasurevill | KENTUCKY | 1 | 2018 |
| Hayden | MISSOURI | 1 | 2012 |
| Sedalia | MISSOURI | 1 | 2023 |
| Richland | MISSOURI | 1 | 2015 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.