Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Blue-winged Teal In Badlands and Prairies
Blue-winged Teal in Badlands and Prairies has fallen sharply: down 56% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-56%Since 1969
99Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Blue-winged Teal has fallen sharply in Badlands and Prairies: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Blue-winged Teal in Badlands and Prairies is projected to fall about 37% by 2029 — from 1.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.0 (95% range 0.00–2.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-37%Change by 2029
1.0Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.295% range
±25.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 2.3 |
| 2026 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
| 2027 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
| 2028 | 1.0 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
| 2029 | 1.0 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
Routes In Badlands and Prairies
| Cottonwood | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 21 | 2024 |
| Bowman | NORTH-DAKOTA | 17 | 2024 |
| Eagle Butte | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 13 | 2015 |
| Promise | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 12 | 2015 |
| Reva | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 10 | 2019 |
| Indian | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 9 | 2024 |
| Schoonover | WYOMING | 9 | 1986 |
| Webster | MONTANA | 7 | 2024 |
| Natrona | WYOMING | 7 | 1992 |
| Bill | WYOMING | 7 | 1998 |
| Jordan | MONTANA | 6 | 2024 |
| Locate | MONTANA | 6 | 2024 |
| Lodgepole | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 6 | 2022 |
| Lark | NORTH-DAKOTA | 5 | 1982 |
| Gorham | NORTH-DAKOTA | 5 | 2018 |
| Carson | NORTH-DAKOTA | 5 | 2024 |
| Newcastle | WYOMING | 5 | 2000 |
| Caballa Crk | WYOMING | 5 | 2011 |
| Circle | MONTANA | 4 | 2023 |
| Ingomar | MONTANA | 4 | 2004 |
| Dinosaurs H.M. | MONTANA | 4 | 2024 |
| Bentley | NORTH-DAKOTA | 4 | 2024 |
| Chamberlain | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 4 | 2011 |
| Cedar Pass | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 4 | 2021 |
| Pioneer | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 4 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.