BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Blue-headed Vireo In Appalachian Mountains

All regionsAppalachian MountainsForest birds

Blue-headed Vireo in Appalachian Mountains has surged: up 19× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

19×Since 1968
284Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Blue-headed Vireo has surged in Appalachian Mountains: up 19× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Blue-headed Vireo in Appalachian Mountains is projected to rise about 19% by 2029 — from 2.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.1 (95% range 2.5–3.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±6.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+19%Change by 2029
3.1Projected 2029 index
2.5–3.795% range
±6.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.92.33.5
20263.02.33.6
20273.02.43.6
20283.12.53.7
20293.12.53.7

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording Blue-headed Vireo in Appalachian Mountains.
KyleNORTH-CAROLINA362024
Newfound GapTENNESSEE192024
BemisWEST-VIRGINIA192024
GlenwoodVIRGINIA182023
Glade RunWEST-VIRGINIA172002
GladyWEST-VIRGINIA172024
CullowheeNORTH-CAROLINA162024
Mawr GlenPENNSYLVANIA152024
Iron Mountain 3VIRGINIA152023
CherokeeNORTH-CAROLINA142024
Willis SprngTENNESSEE142023
Mountain Lk.VIRGINIA132018
WashburnWEST-VIRGINIA132008
Glade Run 2WEST-VIRGINIA132024
FinzelMARYLAND122024
FontanaNORTH-CAROLINA122024
LinvilleNORTH-CAROLINA122024
French Broad RiverNORTH-CAROLINA122024
HighlandsNORTH-CAROLINA122024
RoulettePENNSYLVANIA122021
AnsoniaPENNSYLVANIA122024
N Pine GrovePENNSYLVANIA112024
RidgwayPENNSYLVANIA112018
RasselasPENNSYLVANIA112022
Fish SpringsTENNESSEE112023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.