BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Blue-headed Vireo In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainForest birds

Blue-headed Vireo in Southeastern Coastal Plain has declined: down 32% on the route-weighted index since 1990.

-32%Since 1990TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
10Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
20YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Blue-headed Vireo in Southeastern Coastal Plain. See the full index history below.

Blue-headed Vireo In Southeastern Coastal Plain Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Blue-headed Vireo in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.03). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±310%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.01Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.0395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±310%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Blue-headed Vireo in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.03). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±310%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19852029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.010.000.03
20260.010.000.03
20270.010.000.03
20280.010.000.03
20290.010.000.03

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Blue-headed Vireo in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Lloyd XroadsNORTH-CAROLINA52001
RoseNORTH-CAROLINA21997
RoseboroNORTH-CAROLINA11997
BethelNORTH-CAROLINA12012
RaefordNORTH-CAROLINA12024
RomeSOUTH-CAROLINA11988
SandhillsSOUTH-CAROLINA12014
SurryVIRGINIA12009
NewsomsVIRGINIA12002
BranchvilleVIRGINIA11998

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.