BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 13 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Blue-headed Vireo In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

All regionsLower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence PlainForest birds

Blue-headed Vireo in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain has surged: up 550% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+550%Since 1968
52Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Blue-headed Vireo has surged in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain: up 550% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Blue-headed Vireo in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain is projected to rise about 241% by 2029 — from 0.15 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.50 (95% range 0.22–0.78). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±57.5%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+241%Change by 2029
0.50Projected 2029 index
0.22–0.7895% range
±57.5%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.470.190.76
20260.480.200.76
20270.490.200.77
20280.490.210.77
20290.500.220.78

Routes In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

Routes recording Blue-headed Vireo in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain.
ParishvilleNEW-YORK42024
HarrisvillePENNSYLVANIA42022
HighlandNEW-YORK32012
W ShokanNEW-YORK32019
PulaskiNEW-YORK32023
OneidaNEW-YORK31992
BalmatNEW-YORK32008
HinesburgVERMONT31988
MacdougallNEW-YORK22001
MendonNEW-YORK22019
Alder CreekNEW-YORK22003
N WilmurtNEW-YORK21998
WillsboroNEW-YORK22021
ShaftsburyVERMONT22023
AusterlitzNEW-YORK12007
CatskillsNEW-YORK12015
Ballston LkNEW-YORK11994
DuanesburgNEW-YORK11997
Oriskany FlsNEW-YORK12024
CayugaNEW-YORK12018
TrumansburgNEW-YORK12022
BranchportNEW-YORK12022
Canadice LNEW-YORK12021
Mt MorrisNEW-YORK12015
West SenecaNEW-YORK12003

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.