Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Blue Grosbeak In Central Mixed Grass Prairie
Blue Grosbeak in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has surged: up 151% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+151%Since 1969
126Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Blue Grosbeak has surged in Central Mixed Grass Prairie: up 151% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Blue Grosbeak in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 4.0 (95% range 2.6–5.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-10%Change by 2029
4.0Projected 2029 index
2.6–5.495% range
±27%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 5.1 |
| 2026 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 5.2 |
| 2027 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 5.3 |
| 2028 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 5.3 |
| 2029 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 5.4 |
Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie
| Eldorado | TEXAS | 22 | 2023 |
| Boelus | NEBRASKA | 14 | 2022 |
| Kanopolis | KANSAS | 13 | 2024 |
| Hendley | NEBRASKA | 13 | 2024 |
| Woodward | OKLAHOMA | 13 | 2024 |
| Stratton | NEBRASKA | 12 | 2024 |
| Berwyn 2 | NEBRASKA | 12 | 2018 |
| Cashion | OKLAHOMA | 11 | 2024 |
| Bartley | NEBRASKA | 10 | 2024 |
| Petersburg | NEBRASKA | 10 | 2023 |
| Sickles | OKLAHOMA | 10 | 2021 |
| Phroso | OKLAHOMA | 10 | 2024 |
| Brady | NEBRASKA | 9 | 2024 |
| Berwyn | NEBRASKA | 9 | 2010 |
| Hollis | OKLAHOMA | 9 | 2024 |
| Mertzon | TEXAS | 9 | 2018 |
| Clarendon | TEXAS | 9 | 2024 |
| Ashland | KANSAS | 8 | 2021 |
| Rexford | KANSAS | 8 | 2024 |
| Kenesaw | NEBRASKA | 8 | 2024 |
| Arthur | NEBRASKA | 8 | 2024 |
| Mullen | NEBRASKA | 8 | 2023 |
| Weinert | TEXAS | 8 | 1994 |
| Grimes | OKLAHOMA | 7 | 2024 |
| Erick | OKLAHOMA | 7 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.