BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

All regionsNew England / Mid-Atlantic CoastForest birds

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has surged: up 630% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+630%Since 1968
146Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher has surged in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: up 630% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to fall about 21% by 2029 — from 7.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.5 (95% range 3.9–7.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.1%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-21%Change by 2029
5.5Projected 2029 index
3.9–7.195% range
±26.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20255.13.56.7
20265.23.66.8
20275.33.76.9
20285.43.87.0
20295.53.97.1

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
CokesburyMARYLAND442024
Furnace TownMARYLAND402024
PomonkeyMARYLAND392024
Island CreekMARYLAND282024
Forest GroveMARYLAND272023
La PlataMARYLAND262009
BrandonVIRGINIA262024
PomonaNEW-JERSEY252024
WalkersVIRGINIA252023
TruhartVIRGINIA252024
Bennett MillNEW-JERSEY212000
WinslowNEW-JERSEY172024
PomfretMARYLAND162024
BerlinMARYLAND162024
Spraguetown 3NEW-JERSEY152024
White StoneVIRGINIA152024
NottinghamMARYLAND142024
NewarkMARYLAND132024
GloucesterVIRGINIA132024
Tall TimbersMARYLAND122014
Pr FrederickMARYLAND122024
QuinbyVIRGINIA122024
DavidsnvilleMARYLAND112024
Estell ManorNEW-JERSEY112022
MillsboroDELAWARE102024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.