BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauForest birds

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Edwards Plateau has surged: up 15× on the route-weighted index since 1973.

15×Since 1973
18Routes In Region
52Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher has surged in Edwards Plateau: up 15× on the route-weighted index since 1973.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Edwards Plateau is projected to fall about 10% by 2029 — from 12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 10 (95% range 7.0–14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.5%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-10%Change by 2029
10Projected 2029 index
7.0–1495% range
±25.5%Backtest error
19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20259.66.213
20269.86.413
20279.96.613
2028106.814
2029107.014

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Edwards Plateau.
RockspringTEXAS372024
Valley SpgsTEXAS192024
San SabaTEXAS192024
HarperTEXAS182024
Pidcoke 2TEXAS182024
LeakeyTEXAS162024
Allen CreekTEXAS122024
AdamsvilleTEXAS102024
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS102024
MontellTEXAS92024
KempnerTEXAS72019
Indian MtnTEXAS62024
UtopiaTEXAS52024
Dripping SpgTEXAS52024
BoerneTEXAS42019
PidcokeTEXAS32017
LeanderTEXAS22005
GeorgetownTEXAS11970

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.