Species · BCR 10 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher In Northern Rockies
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Northern Rockies has surged: up 129% on the route-weighted index since 1980.
+129%Since 1980
22Routes In Region
43Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher has surged in Northern Rockies: up 129% on the route-weighted index since 1980.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Northern Rockies is projected to rise about 25% by 2029 — from 0.09 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.11 (95% range 0.02–0.19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±103.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+25%Change by 2029
0.11Projected 2029 index
0.02–0.1995% range
±103.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.10 | 0.01 | 0.19 |
| 2026 | 0.10 | 0.02 | 0.19 |
| 2027 | 0.10 | 0.02 | 0.19 |
| 2028 | 0.10 | 0.02 | 0.19 |
| 2029 | 0.11 | 0.02 | 0.19 |
Routes In Northern Rockies
| Crawford Mts | UTAH | 5 | 2023 |
| Maybell | COLORADO | 4 | 2024 |
| Savery | WYOMING | 4 | 1993 |
| Great Divide | COLORADO | 3 | 2019 |
| Lamont | WYOMING | 3 | 1987 |
| Browns Park | COLORADO | 2 | 2024 |
| Madras | OREGON | 2 | 2024 |
| Nowood | WYOMING | 2 | 2013 |
| Tensleep | WYOMING | 2 | 2013 |
| Lay | COLORADO | 1 | 2024 |
| Monument | OREGON | 1 | 2023 |
| Saleratus Cr | UTAH | 1 | 1995 |
| E. Bear Lake | UTAH | 1 | 2019 |
| Dubois | WYOMING | 1 | 2013 |
| Riverside | WYOMING | 1 | 2007 |
| Moose | WYOMING | 1 | 2024 |
| Mtn View | WYOMING | 1 | 2016 |
| Rock Springs | WYOMING | 1 | 2016 |
| Baggs | WYOMING | 1 | 2024 |
| Harmony | WYOMING | 1 | 2014 |
| Flamin Gorge | WYOMING | 1 | 2024 |
| Savery 2 | WYOMING | 1 | 2016 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.