BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black Vulture In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaGeneralists

Black Vulture in Peninsular Florida has surged: up 103% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+103%Since 1968
79Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Black Vulture has surged in Peninsular Florida: up 103% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Black Vulture in Peninsular Florida is projected to rise about 67% by 2029 — from 13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 21 (95% range 13–29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±56.8%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+67%Change by 2029
21Projected 2029 index
13–2995% range
±56.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025201228
2026201228
2027211328
2028211329
2029211329

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Black Vulture in Peninsular Florida.
Wildernes PkFLORIDA2672014
SandyFLORIDA932015
Holey LandFLORIDA712024
Pennywash CrFLORIDA602024
Winter GardnFLORIDA552019
ScottsmoorFLORIDA522024
Indiantown 2FLORIDA472024
TamiamiFLORIDA421974
AndytownFLORIDA401998
Mabel 2FLORIDA332019
Myakka Head 2FLORIDA322021
Ft LonesomeFLORIDA302024
PalmdaleFLORIDA262023
IndiantownFLORIDA252017
Ridge HarborFLORIDA232024
Myakka HeadFLORIDA222011
Sunniland GrFLORIDA222021
DeanvilleFLORIDA222019
Mt. OliveFLORIDA212024
Lake BuffumFLORIDA192024
CorbettFLORIDA192024
PinecrestFLORIDA182024
AlvaFLORIDA182017
Weaver StnFLORIDA182019
Pleasant Grove 2FLORIDA182024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.