Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black Vulture In Piedmont
Black Vulture in Piedmont has surged: up 12× on the route-weighted index since 1968.
12×Since 1968
155Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Black Vulture has surged in Piedmont: up 12× on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Black Vulture in Piedmont is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 4.1 (95% range 2.8–5.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-10%Change by 2029
4.1Projected 2029 index
2.8–5.495% range
±19%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 5.1 |
| 2026 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 5.2 |
| 2027 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 5.3 |
| 2028 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 5.3 |
| 2029 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 5.4 |
Routes In Piedmont
| Taylorstown | VIRGINIA | 107 | 2010 |
| Climax | NORTH-CAROLINA | 82 | 2024 |
| Brodnax | VIRGINIA | 66 | 2024 |
| Stoney Point | GEORGIA | 45 | 2007 |
| Mt Gretna 2 | PENNSYLVANIA | 37 | 2017 |
| Hebron | GEORGIA | 19 | 2022 |
| Youngsville | NORTH-CAROLINA | 19 | 2022 |
| Lincolnton | GEORGIA | 18 | 2017 |
| Blacksburg | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 18 | 2013 |
| Hollonville | GEORGIA | 17 | 1997 |
| Pleasant Val | MARYLAND | 17 | 2022 |
| Ostwalt | NORTH-CAROLINA | 17 | 2024 |
| Hall | VIRGINIA | 17 | 2023 |
| Owings 2 | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 16 | 2024 |
| Wilgrove | NORTH-CAROLINA | 15 | 2024 |
| Grovetown | GEORGIA | 14 | 2021 |
| Theodore | MARYLAND | 14 | 2016 |
| Wedowee | ALABAMA | 13 | 2023 |
| Athens | GEORGIA | 13 | 2023 |
| Sharon 2 | GEORGIA | 13 | 2024 |
| Saxapahaw | NORTH-CAROLINA | 13 | 2023 |
| Good Hope | GEORGIA | 12 | 2024 |
| Flay | NORTH-CAROLINA | 12 | 2024 |
| Candler | GEORGIA | 10 | 2024 |
| Moran | VIRGINIA | 10 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.