BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black Vulture In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsGeneralists

Black Vulture in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 621% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+621%Since 1968
113Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Black Vulture has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 621% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Black Vulture in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 59% by 2029 — from 1.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.0 (95% range 1.2–2.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+59%Change by 2029
2.0Projected 2029 index
1.2–2.995% range
±18.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.91.12.8
20261.91.12.8
20272.01.12.8
20282.01.22.9
20292.01.22.9

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Black Vulture in Central Hardwoods.
Wheeler DamALABAMA702023
FarwellARKANSAS492018
PeytonsvilleTENNESSEE252024
KeysburgKENTUCKY232024
BradyvilleTENNESSEE162021
GlencoeKENTUCKY112018
CorydonINDIANA102021
EastviewKENTUCKY102024
White HouseTENNESSEE102019
SwaimALABAMA92023
PimentoINDIANA91997
Lebanon JunctionKENTUCKY92024
Trace CollinwoodTENNESSEE92018
YellvilleARKANSAS82022
Union HillTENNESSEE82024
Beaverdam LkILLINOIS72023
West PlainsMISSOURI72023
HillsboroALABAMA61993
Buena VistaKENTUCKY62017
MincyMISSOURI62024
ColcordOKLAHOMA62022
WrigleyTENNESSEE62022
CampbellsvilleTENNESSEE62017
PetersburgTENNESSEE62012
ElkmontALABAMA52024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.