BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black Vulture In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

All regionsEastern Tallgrass PrairieGeneralists

Black Vulture in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has surged: up 365% on the route-weighted index since 1995.

+365%Since 1995
19Routes In Region
29Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Black Vulture has surged in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie: up 365% on the route-weighted index since 1995.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Black Vulture in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to fall about 50% by 2029 — from 0.15 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.07 (95% range 0.02–0.13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±51%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-50%Change by 2029
0.07Projected 2029 index
0.02–0.1395% range
±51%Backtest error
19862029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.070.010.12
20260.070.010.13
20270.070.010.13
20280.070.010.13
20290.070.020.13

Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

Routes recording Black Vulture in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie.
WainwrightOKLAHOMA132013
CubaOHIO92024
Witts StationINDIANA52024
MilroyINDIANA41986
EnonOHIO32024
ColumbiaILLINOIS22024
SextonINDIANA22024
BrookvilleINDIANA22024
WelchOKLAHOMA22016
KeetonvilleOKLAHOMA22022
DudleyvilleILLINOIS12021
ShelbyvilleINDIANA12024
WallaceINDIANA12024
MarionOHIO12022
FultonOHIO12024
DarrtownOHIO12021
Ash RidgeOHIO12017
Harveysburg 2OHIO12023
PeoriaOKLAHOMA12019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.