BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black Vulture In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesGeneralists

Black Vulture in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 21× on the route-weighted index since 1969.

21×Since 1969
68Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Black Vulture has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 21× on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Black Vulture in Oaks and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 12 (95% range 9.0–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+8%Change by 2029
12Projected 2029 index
9.0–1595% range
±14.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025118.214
2026118.414
2027118.614
2028128.814
2029129.015

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Black Vulture in Oaks and Prairies.
PaigeTEXAS1022024
OakwoodTEXAS531995
SchroederTEXAS421997
Oak Grove 2TEXAS422024
Whit Mtn.TEXAS322019
LockhartTEXAS312024
SeldenTEXAS312024
OlaTEXAS292024
DuranTEXAS291999
Lone OakTEXAS282022
Mill CreekOKLAHOMA252018
DallasTEXAS222024
Three RiversTEXAS222024
Mount ZionTEXAS202024
SadlerTEXAS192024
CayugaTEXAS192024
KosseTEXAS182023
HearneTEXAS172024
YoakumTEXAS162024
HenriettaTEXAS142022
MuldoonTEXAS132024
TatumsOKLAHOMA122019
OsageTEXAS122024
Miller GroveTEXAS112024
WeatherfordTEXAS102024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.